Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 survey, show Péter Magyar's TISZA party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz-KDNP coalition to around 20 points ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus pricing TISZA as the likely winner with most seats. TISZA's surge reflects strong backing from younger voters and urban areas disillusioned by economic pressures and corruption allegations, amplified by a new investigative documentary alleging systematic Fidesz vote-buying in rural constituencies targeting up to 600,000 voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—rewards district wins, where TISZA polls competitively, though Fidesz holds rural strongholds and incumbency edges. Undecided voters and turnout remain key variables with two weeks left.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires hongroises
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires hongroises
TISZA 67%
Fidesz-KDNP 34%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$48,911,276 Vol.
$48,911,276 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
67%
Fidesz-KDNP
34%
Momentum
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 67%
Fidesz-KDNP 34%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$48,911,276 Vol.
$48,911,276 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$861,925 Vol.
67%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,146,981 Vol.
34%
Momentum
$602,338 Vol.
<1%
DK
$4,876,095 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,703 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$446,332 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$470,862 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$7,088,495 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$14,786,563 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$4,306,130 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 survey, show Péter Magyar's TISZA party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz-KDNP coalition to around 20 points ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus pricing TISZA as the likely winner with most seats. TISZA's surge reflects strong backing from younger voters and urban areas disillusioned by economic pressures and corruption allegations, amplified by a new investigative documentary alleging systematic Fidesz vote-buying in rural constituencies targeting up to 600,000 voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—rewards district wins, where TISZA polls competitively, though Fidesz holds rural strongholds and incumbency edges. Undecided voters and turnout remain key variables with two weeks left.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$48,911,276Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 survey, show Péter Magyar's TISZA party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz-KDNP coalition to around 20 points ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus pricing TISZA as the likely winner with most seats. TISZA's surge reflects strong backing from younger voters and urban areas disillusioned by economic pressures and corruption allegations, amplified by a new investigative documentary alleging systematic Fidesz vote-buying in rural constituencies targeting up to 600,000 voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—rewards district wins, where TISZA polls competitively, though Fidesz holds rural strongholds and incumbency edges. Undecided voters and turnout remain key variables with two weeks left.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$48,911,276Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 survey, show Péter Magyar's TISZA party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz-KDNP coalition to around 20 points ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus pricing TISZA as the likely winner with most seats. TISZA's surge reflects strong backing from younger voters and urban areas disillusioned by economic pressures and corruption allegations, amplified by a new investigative documentary alleging systematic Fidesz vote-buying in rural constituencies targeting up to 600,000 voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—rewards district wins, where TISZA polls competitively, though Fidesz holds rural strongholds and incumbency edges. Undecided voters and turnout remain key variables with two weeks left.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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