Traders heavily favor 33°C (39.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near this mark amid persistent dry, hazy conditions from regional biomass burning. Recent data shows March 25-26 highs of 33-34°C, aligning with the ongoing heatwave fueled by El Niño's lingering warmth and urban heat island effects in this equatorial city-state, where March climatological maxima average 32°C but often exceed 33°C during low-rain periods. Lower odds for 32°C (29.5%) and 34°C (19%) reflect model uncertainty from potential afternoon thundershowers, which could cap peaks, while extremes like 36°C+ (2.2%) remain unlikely per ensemble guidance. Upcoming hourly updates from NEA will refine these market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Singapore on March 27?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 27?
33°C 40%
32°C 30%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
30%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 40%
32°C 30%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
30%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 33°C (39.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near this mark amid persistent dry, hazy conditions from regional biomass burning. Recent data shows March 25-26 highs of 33-34°C, aligning with the ongoing heatwave fueled by El Niño's lingering warmth and urban heat island effects in this equatorial city-state, where March climatological maxima average 32°C but often exceed 33°C during low-rain periods. Lower odds for 32°C (29.5%) and 34°C (19%) reflect model uncertainty from potential afternoon thundershowers, which could cap peaks, while extremes like 36°C+ (2.2%) remain unlikely per ensemble guidance. Upcoming hourly updates from NEA will refine these market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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