Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C and 32°C or higher both at 25.5% implied probability amid divergent model outputs. Climatempo's latest 15-day outlook projects a high of 25°C under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, aligning with INMET's weekly forecast of 20-50 mm accumulated rain in central São Paulo through April 6 from persistent Southeast moisture and sea breeze convergence, which typically caps daytime heating. However, some global ensemble members from GFS and ECMWF suggest possible afternoon clearing, enabling urban heat island amplification toward 32°C outliers. April climatology averages 25-27°C highs, but frontal system timing introduces volatility; watch daily INMET/CPTEC updates for resolution-defining shifts in cloud cover and insolation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 5?
28°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
14%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
28%
29°C
19%
30°C
15%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
8%
28°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$182 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C and 32°C or higher both at 25.5% implied probability amid divergent model outputs. Climatempo's latest 15-day outlook projects a high of 25°C under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, aligning with INMET's weekly forecast of 20-50 mm accumulated rain in central São Paulo through April 6 from persistent Southeast moisture and sea breeze convergence, which typically caps daytime heating. However, some global ensemble members from GFS and ECMWF suggest possible afternoon clearing, enabling urban heat island amplification toward 32°C outliers. April climatology averages 25-27°C highs, but frontal system timing introduces volatility; watch daily INMET/CPTEC updates for resolution-defining shifts in cloud cover and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$182Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C and 32°C or higher both at 25.5% implied probability amid divergent model outputs. Climatempo's latest 15-day outlook projects a high of 25°C under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, aligning with INMET's weekly forecast of 20-50 mm accumulated rain in central São Paulo through April 6 from persistent Southeast moisture and sea breeze convergence, which typically caps daytime heating. However, some global ensemble members from GFS and ECMWF suggest possible afternoon clearing, enabling urban heat island amplification toward 32°C outliers. April climatology averages 25-27°C highs, but frontal system timing introduces volatility; watch daily INMET/CPTEC updates for resolution-defining shifts in cloud cover and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$182Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 5, with 28°C and 32°C or higher both at 25.5% implied probability amid divergent model outputs. Climatempo's latest 15-day outlook projects a high of 25°C under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, aligning with INMET's weekly forecast of 20-50 mm accumulated rain in central São Paulo through April 6 from persistent Southeast moisture and sea breeze convergence, which typically caps daytime heating. However, some global ensemble members from GFS and ECMWF suggest possible afternoon clearing, enabling urban heat island amplification toward 32°C outliers. April climatology averages 25-27°C highs, but frontal system timing introduces volatility; watch daily INMET/CPTEC updates for resolution-defining shifts in cloud cover and insolation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes