Democratic Party challenger Woo Sang-ho commands an 86% trader consensus implied probability to win the June 3 Gangwon Special Self-Governing Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent opinion poll leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae. Head-to-head surveys in February and early March, including MBC (45.4% Woo vs. 31.4% Kim) and others showing margins up to 56-33%, reflect opposition momentum amid national polls favoring Democrats and PPP approval at 17%. Despite Gangwon's conservative stronghold history, finalized single-nominations without primaries in late February and mid-March have solidified the matchup, with rural advances boosting Woo; late-breaking polls or scandals could alter odds before early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de la province de Gangwon
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de la province de Gangwon
Woo Sang-ho 86%
Kim Jin-tae 13%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$334,241 Vol.
$334,241 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
13%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
86%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
Woo Sang-ho 86%
Kim Jin-tae 13%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$334,241 Vol.
$334,241 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
13%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
86%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party challenger Woo Sang-ho commands an 86% trader consensus implied probability to win the June 3 Gangwon Special Self-Governing Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent opinion poll leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae. Head-to-head surveys in February and early March, including MBC (45.4% Woo vs. 31.4% Kim) and others showing margins up to 56-33%, reflect opposition momentum amid national polls favoring Democrats and PPP approval at 17%. Despite Gangwon's conservative stronghold history, finalized single-nominations without primaries in late February and mid-March have solidified the matchup, with rural advances boosting Woo; late-breaking polls or scandals could alter odds before early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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