Market icon

Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028

Market icon

Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028

Gavin Newsom 25.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.6%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.5%

Polymarket

$768,658,171 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 25.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.6%

Kamala Harris 5.3%

Jon Ossoff 4.5%

Polymarket

$768,658,171 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$10,375,855 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$5,308,458 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$7,355,496 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$4,857,357 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$4,960,347 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$7,115,877 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$8,759,890 Vol.

3%

Market icon

James Talarico

$2,246,824 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$4,940,374 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$2,939,785 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$7,906,635 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$7,213,759 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$6,181,182 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$9,193,929 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$11,208,179 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$8,713,747 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Dwayne « The Rock » Johnson

$7,606,953 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$17,467,790 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$30,621,312 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$20,328,678 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$17,964,078 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$13,944,871 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$13,630,222 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$3,305,853 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$28,203,241 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$8,730,665 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$23,557,430 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$18,724,181 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$33,080,360 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$28,032,465 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$33,034,747 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$29,695,884 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$26,068,953 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$40,961,106 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$31,112,944 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$21,344,171 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$36,809,840 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$31,413,645 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$31,784,371 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$24,971,881 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$24,570,513 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$14,785,384 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$31,948,703 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$15,727,078 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$768,658,171
Date de fin
Nov 7, 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028" has generated $768.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.