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Politique·Primaires

Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08

Market icon
Politique·Primaires

Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08

Manny Rutinel 74%

Shannon Bird 22%

Yadira Caraveo 1.4%

Dave Young 1.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Manny Rutinel 74%

Shannon Bird 22%

Yadira Caraveo 1.4%

Dave Young 1.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Manny Rutinel

$6,974 Vol.

74%

Shannon Bird

$932 Vol.

22%

Yadira Caraveo

$352 Vol.

1%

Dave Young

$630 Vol.

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$633 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$409 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant first-quarter fundraising—over $950,000 from more than 60,000 grassroots donors announced April 2—has solidified trader consensus on his frontrunner status in Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting momentum in a two-way race with former state Rep. Shannon Bird following the March 17 filing deadline. Cook Political Report frames the contest between these state House veterans, with Rutinel's cash advantage signaling stronger path-to-victory amid GOP attacks highlighting his past animal agriculture criticisms. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal has marginalized challengers like State Treasurer Dave Young and Amie Baca-Oehlert, leaving ballots mailing June 8 for the June 30 primary where early money often tips close primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,930
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant first-quarter fundraising—over $950,000 from more than 60,000 grassroots donors announced April 2—has solidified trader consensus on his frontrunner status in Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting momentum in a two-way race with former state Rep. Shannon Bird following the March 17 filing deadline. Cook Political Report frames the contest between these state House veterans, with Rutinel's cash advantage signaling stronger path-to-victory amid GOP attacks highlighting his past animal agriculture criticisms. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal has marginalized challengers like State Treasurer Dave Young and Amie Baca-Oehlert, leaving ballots mailing June 8 for the June 30 primary where early money often tips close primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,930
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Manny Rutinel » à 74%, suivi de « Shannon Bird » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Nov 25, 2025. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est « Manny Rutinel » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Shannon Bird » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.