Record primary turnout in Texas, North Carolina, and Arkansas on March 3—driven by a Democratic surge that doubled participation in some races compared to 2022, alongside strong Latino engagement in South Texas—has fueled trader consensus for House turnout around 110-120 million votes, echoing 2018's near-114 million benchmark. Yet odds remain tightly clustered across ranges due to early-cycle uncertainty, including uneven GOP primary response, nascent voter registration trends, and historical midterm turnout volatility tied to presidential approval and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from sustained generic ballot leads, intensified mobilization in battleground states, or policy milestones like debt ceiling resolutions ahead of November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour115-120m 18%
110-115 millions 14%
120-125 millions 14%
125-130m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85M
9%
85-90 millions
11%
90-95 millions
7%
95-100m
8%
100-105m
9%
105-110m
10%
110-115 millions
14%
115-120m
18%
120-125 millions
14%
125-130m
14%
130M+
10%
115-120m 18%
110-115 millions 14%
120-125 millions 14%
125-130m 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85M
$206 Vol.
9%
85-90 millions
$305 Vol.
11%
90-95 millions
$688 Vol.
7%
95-100m
$137 Vol.
8%
100-105m
$0 Vol.
9%
105-110m
$145 Vol.
10%
110-115 millions
$0 Vol.
14%
115-120m
$0 Vol.
18%
120-125 millions
$0 Vol.
14%
125-130m
$0 Vol.
14%
130M+
$0 Vol.
10%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Record primary turnout in Texas, North Carolina, and Arkansas on March 3—driven by a Democratic surge that doubled participation in some races compared to 2022, alongside strong Latino engagement in South Texas—has fueled trader consensus for House turnout around 110-120 million votes, echoing 2018's near-114 million benchmark. Yet odds remain tightly clustered across ranges due to early-cycle uncertainty, including uneven GOP primary response, nascent voter registration trends, and historical midterm turnout volatility tied to presidential approval and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from sustained generic ballot leads, intensified mobilization in battleground states, or policy milestones like debt ceiling resolutions ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,481Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Record primary turnout in Texas, North Carolina, and Arkansas on March 3—driven by a Democratic surge that doubled participation in some races compared to 2022, alongside strong Latino engagement in South Texas—has fueled trader consensus for House turnout around 110-120 million votes, echoing 2018's near-114 million benchmark. Yet odds remain tightly clustered across ranges due to early-cycle uncertainty, including uneven GOP primary response, nascent voter registration trends, and historical midterm turnout volatility tied to presidential approval and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from sustained generic ballot leads, intensified mobilization in battleground states, or policy milestones like debt ceiling resolutions ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$1,481Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record primary turnout in Texas, North Carolina, and Arkansas on March 3—driven by a Democratic surge that doubled participation in some races compared to 2022, alongside strong Latino engagement in South Texas—has fueled trader consensus for House turnout around 110-120 million votes, echoing 2018's near-114 million benchmark. Yet odds remain tightly clustered across ranges due to early-cycle uncertainty, including uneven GOP primary response, nascent voter registration trends, and historical midterm turnout volatility tied to presidential approval and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from sustained generic ballot leads, intensified mobilization in battleground states, or policy milestones like debt ceiling resolutions ahead of November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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