Name: Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?
Start: 2025-01-09T16:19:05.174455Z
End: 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a physical, in-person visit to Los Angeles county at any point between January 8, and January 12, 2025 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. 

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

This market will resolve to the total number of gifts delivered by Santa for Christmas 2025 as reported by the NORAD Santa Tracker website. 

If the reported total number of gifts delivered falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as data is finalized for 2025.

If data is not available by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the NORAD Tracks Santa website, https://www.noradsanta.org/en/.

Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?

Market Context

Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?

Rules

Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?

Market Context

Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?

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