Market icon
Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$241,840 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$241,840 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$226,126 Vol.

1%

April 30

$10,576 Vol.

7%

June 30

$5,178 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination earlier this month, his son Mojtaba was appointed successor around March 9, prompting intense scrutiny of Iran's leadership transition. President Trump has publicly denied direct contact with Mojtaba, stating the US is in "very strong talks" with other figures purportedly running Iran, while questioning Mojtaba's vitality based on intelligence briefings—including unverified claims about his sexuality and absence from public view. These developments, coupled with Trump's emphasis on regime change preconditions like nuclear curbs, shape trader consensus on slim odds for a Trump-Mojtaba conversation by the imminent March 31 resolution, absent backchannel breakthroughs or de-escalation signals.

Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination earlier this month, his son Mojtaba was appointed successor around March 9, prompting intense scrutiny of Iran's leadership transition. President Trump has publicly denied direct contact with Mojtaba, stating the US is in "very strong talks" with other figures purportedly running Iran, while questioning Mojtaba's vitality based on intelligence briefings—including unverified claims about his sexuality and absence from public view. These developments, coupled with Trump's emphasis on regime change preconditions like nuclear curbs, shape trader consensus on slim odds for a Trump-Mojtaba conversation by the imminent March 31 resolution, absent backchannel breakthroughs or de-escalation signals.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination earlier this month, his son Mojtaba was appointed successor around March 9, prompting intense scrutiny of Iran's leadership transition. President Trump has publicly denied direct contact with Mojtaba, stating the US is in "very strong talks" with other figures purportedly running Iran, while questioning Mojtaba's vitality based on intelligence briefings—including unverified claims about his sexuality and absence from public view. These developments, coupled with Trump's emphasis on regime change preconditions like nuclear curbs, shape trader consensus on slim odds for a Trump-Mojtaba conversation by the imminent March 31 resolution, absent backchannel breakthroughs or de-escalation signals.

Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination earlier this month, his son Mojtaba was appointed successor around March 9, prompting intense scrutiny of Iran's leadership transition. President Trump has publicly denied direct contact with Mojtaba, stating the US is in "very strong talks" with other figures purportedly running Iran, while questioning Mojtaba's vitality based on intelligence briefings—including unverified claims about his sexuality and absence from public view. These developments, coupled with Trump's emphasis on regime change preconditions like nuclear curbs, shape trader consensus on slim odds for a Trump-Mojtaba conversation by the imminent March 31 resolution, absent backchannel breakthroughs or de-escalation signals.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

74%
Market icon

Iran leadership change by December 31?

51%
Market icon

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

55%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 8%, followed by "April 30" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" has generated $241.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is "June 30" at just 8%, with "April 30" close behind at 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.