Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?

$97,150 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Ahmed al-Sharaa on November 10, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of Ahmed al-Sharaa personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Ahmed is smart,” “He’s a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to Ahmed al-Sharaa.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of Ahmed al-Sharaa personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "Ahmed is very smart, but he doesn’t seem to know that this war will kill more of his citizens." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if Ahmed al-Sharaa is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$97,150
End Date
Nov 10, 2025
Created At
Nov 10, 2025, 4:26 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$97,150 Vol.

Market icon

Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?

>99% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Ahmed al-Sharaa on November 10, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of Ahmed al-Sharaa personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Ahmed is smart,” “He’s a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to Ahmed al-Sharaa.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of Ahmed al-Sharaa personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "Ahmed is very smart, but he doesn’t seem to know that this war will kill more of his citizens." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if Ahmed al-Sharaa is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$97,150
End Date
Nov 10, 2025
Created At
Nov 10, 2025, 4:26 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.