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Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Market icon

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,094,031 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,094,031 Vol.

The South Korean presidential election is scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the popular vote winner of the South Korean Presidential Election wins over 50% of cast votes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no election for the next President of South Korea occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$13,094,031
End Date
Jun 3, 2025
Market Opened
May 5, 2025, 7:45 PM ET
The South Korean presidential election is scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the popular vote winner of the South Korean Presidential Election wins over 50% of cast votes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no election for the next President of South Korea occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The South Korean presidential election is scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the popular vote winner of the South Korean Presidential Election wins over 50% of cast votes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no election for the next President of South Korea occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$13,094,031
End Date
Jun 3, 2025
Market Opened
May 5, 2025, 7:45 PM ET
The South Korean presidential election is scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the popular vote winner of the South Korean Presidential Election wins over 50% of cast votes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no election for the next President of South Korea occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?" has generated $13.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.