Polymarket traders assign a modest 25% implied probability to silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, reflecting spot prices hovering near $24.80 amid persistent USD strength and hawkish Fed signals from the March 12 CPI report showing sticky inflation at 3.2% core. Primary drivers include industrial demand tailwinds from solar panel production offsetting headwinds from China's property slump, with silver's gold correlation amplifying upside if bullion tests $2,150 resistance. Key catalysts ahead: FOMC meeting March 19-20, where dot plot revisions could boost rate-cut odds to 75bps for 2024 per CME FedWatch, potentially lifting SI via cheaper financing; watch $25.50 futures resistance for breakout momentum before quarter-end settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1,011,352 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,011,352 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
21%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a modest 25% implied probability to silver (SI) surpassing $30 by March 31, reflecting spot prices hovering near $24.80 amid persistent USD strength and hawkish Fed signals from the March 12 CPI report showing sticky inflation at 3.2% core. Primary drivers include industrial demand tailwinds from solar panel production offsetting headwinds from China's property slump, with silver's gold correlation amplifying upside if bullion tests $2,150 resistance. Key catalysts ahead: FOMC meeting March 19-20, where dot plot revisions could boost rate-cut odds to 75bps for 2024 per CME FedWatch, potentially lifting SI via cheaper financing; watch $25.50 futures resistance for breakout momentum before quarter-end settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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