Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?

$292,421 Vol.

Asked by

TBPN image

TBPN

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Qatar formally transfers ownership or long-term use rights of a Boeing 747-8 aircraft, or a substantially similar luxury aircraft, to either Donald Trump, the Trump Organization, a Trump-affiliated foundation, trust, or nonprofit, or to the U.S. government (including but not limited to the U.S. Air Force) by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying transfer must be confirmed either by official statements from both the Qatari government and the Trump side (including the Trump Organization or relevant U.S. government agency), or by a consensus of credible reporting indicating that such a transfer occurred.

The primary resolution source will be official Qatari and U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$292,421
End Date
May 31, 2025
Created At
May 12, 2025, 2:39 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$292,421 Vol.

Asked by

TBPN image

TBPN

Market icon

Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Qatar formally transfers ownership or long-term use rights of a Boeing 747-8 aircraft, or a substantially similar luxury aircraft, to either Donald Trump, the Trump Organization, a Trump-affiliated foundation, trust, or nonprofit, or to the U.S. government (including but not limited to the U.S. Air Force) by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying transfer must be confirmed either by official statements from both the Qatari government and the Trump side (including the Trump Organization or relevant U.S. government agency), or by a consensus of credible reporting indicating that such a transfer occurred.

The primary resolution source will be official Qatari and U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$292,421
End Date
May 31, 2025
Created At
May 12, 2025, 2:39 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.