Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

$2,142,565 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

Since 7 October 2023, Israel has prevented international journalists from entering Gaza. You can read more about that here: https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-ceasefire-in-place-us-renews-plea-for-israel-to-allow-foreign-press-into-gaza/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it will allow independent international journalists to enter Gaza by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement by the Government of Israel that it will permit independent international journalists to enter Gaza will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when and whether such access is actually restored.

An announcement indicating limited access (e.g., escorted, restricted to specific crossings, or pooled press visits) will still qualify.

Announcements that such access is already sufficiently available or may be arranged will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to determine whether independent journalists were allowed access to Gaza.
Volume
$2,142,565
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Nov 5, 2025, 11:58 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$2,142,565 Vol.

Market icon

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

>99% chance

About

Since 7 October 2023, Israel has prevented international journalists from entering Gaza. You can read more about that here: https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-ceasefire-in-place-us-renews-plea-for-israel-to-allow-foreign-press-into-gaza/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it will allow independent international journalists to enter Gaza by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement by the Government of Israel that it will permit independent international journalists to enter Gaza will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when and whether such access is actually restored.

An announcement indicating limited access (e.g., escorted, restricted to specific crossings, or pooled press visits) will still qualify.

Announcements that such access is already sufficiently available or may be arranged will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to determine whether independent journalists were allowed access to Gaza.
Volume
$2,142,565
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Nov 5, 2025, 11:58 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.