Market icon

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Market icon

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$8,609 Vol.

Polymarket

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

59%

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

59%

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

46%

Young Thug

$0 Vol.

41%

Daniel Penny

$0 Vol.

33%

Ryan Salame

$0 Vol.

30%

Keonne Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

19%

Bob Menendez

$0 Vol.

18%

Steve Bannon

$0 Vol.

17%

Joe Exotic

$0 Vol.

16%

Eric Adams

$0 Vol.

14%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

13%

Nicolas Maduro

$0 Vol.

12%

Edward Snowden

$0 Vol.

11%

Derek Chauvin

$5,902 Vol.

9%

Elizabeth Holmes

$695 Vol.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$0 Vol.

8%

Do Kwon

$0 Vol.

7%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

7%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$0 Vol.

7%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$0 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$0 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$0 Vol.

4%

Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

2%

Himself

$2,012 Vol.

2%

Julian Assange

$0 Vol.

2%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,609
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Donald Brodie" at 59%, followed by "Stefan Brodie" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" is "Donald Brodie" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stefan Brodie" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.