Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$110,187,778 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 35%

Christopher Waller 13.3%

Rick Rieder 4.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,187,778
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$110,187,778 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 35%

Christopher Waller 13.3%

Rick Rieder 4.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$7,021,718 Vol.

43%

Kevin Warsh

$3,240,192 Vol.

35%

Christopher Waller

$2,806,273 Vol.

13%

Rick Rieder

$1,981,564 Vol.

5%

Michelle Bowman

$2,281,375 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$2,601,741 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$2,663,998 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$2,320,982 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,703,248 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$3,439,564 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$7,591,738 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,141,922 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,485,520 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,103,316 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,641,269 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,021,309 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$8,657,866 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,507,779 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,178,877 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,519,589 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,468,910 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$3,074,722 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,056,018 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$2,717,692 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,173,712 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$110,187,778
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.