Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$94,791,074 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 45%

Kevin Warsh 33%

Christopher Waller 10.7%

Rick Rieder 4.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,791,074
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$94,791,074 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 45%

Kevin Warsh 33%

Christopher Waller 10.7%

Rick Rieder 4.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$6,409,813 Vol.

45%

Kevin Warsh

$2,853,215 Vol.

33%

Christopher Waller

$2,694,524 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$1,886,486 Vol.

5%

Judy Shelton

$2,537,955 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,199,214 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$2,449,843 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$2,245,814 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,654,268 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,019,565 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$967,511 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,965,817 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,630,269 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$908,043 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$8,286,266 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,470,899 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,451,185 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,091,082 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,513,589 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,352,754 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,601,327 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,047,018 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$1,002,241 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$391,097 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,163,712 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$94,791,074
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.