Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 95.2%

Judy Shelton 3.4%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Christopher Waller <1%

Polymarket

$447,369,829 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$447,369,829
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 95.2%

Judy Shelton 3.4%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Christopher Waller <1%

Polymarket

$447,369,829 Vol.

Market icon

Kevin Warsh

$35,974,931 Vol.

95%

Market icon

Judy Shelton

$68,163,879 Vol.

3%

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Kevin Hassett

$24,981,784 Vol.

<1%

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Christopher Waller

$19,934,412 Vol.

<1%

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Rick Rieder

$21,803,615 Vol.

<1%

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Jerome Powell

$26,504,525 Vol.

<1%

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Stephen Miran

$15,565,411 Vol.

<1%

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Michelle Bowman

$17,670,970 Vol.

<1%

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No one nominated before 2027

$14,015,438 Vol.

<1%

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Bill Pulte

$24,351,081 Vol.

<1%

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David Malpass

$6,189,990 Vol.

<1%

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Howard Lutnick

$2,544,831 Vol.

<1%

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Arthur Laffer

$21,041,223 Vol.

<1%

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Larry Kudlow

$10,217,041 Vol.

<1%

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Ron Paul

$12,549,067 Vol.

<1%

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Scott Bessent

$16,314,696 Vol.

<1%

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James Bullard

$2,660,534 Vol.

<1%

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Marc Sumerlin

$4,232,340 Vol.

<1%

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David Zervos

$17,801,610 Vol.

<1%

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Lorie K. Logan

$2,780,767 Vol.

<1%

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Philip Jefferson

$10,733,140 Vol.

<1%

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Janet Yellen

$21,195,343 Vol.

<1%

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Larry Lindsey

$5,955,693 Vol.

<1%

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Barron Trump

$20,788,683 Vol.

<1%

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Donald Trump

$23,393,818 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.