Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$16,967,215 Vol.
Kevin Hassett 73%
Kevin Warsh 13%
Christopher Waller 6.6%
Scott Bessent 3.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$1,653,997 Vol.
73%
Kevin Hassett
$1,653,997 Vol.
73%
Kevin Warsh
$441,092 Vol.
13%
Kevin Warsh
$441,092 Vol.
13%
Christopher Waller
$690,128 Vol.
7%
Christopher Waller
$690,128 Vol.
7%
Scott Bessent
$528,092 Vol.
4%
Scott Bessent
$528,092 Vol.
4%
Rick Rieder
$415,747 Vol.
3%
Rick Rieder
$415,747 Vol.
3%
Michelle Bowman
$303,646 Vol.
1%
Michelle Bowman
$303,646 Vol.
1%
David Malpass
$323,311 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$323,311 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$299,391 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$299,391 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$666,775 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$666,775 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$898,498 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$898,498 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$327,607 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$327,607 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$256,308 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$256,308 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$399,353 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$399,353 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$855,114 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$855,114 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$432,131 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$432,131 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$100,546 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$100,546 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$32,842 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$32,842 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,577,318 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,577,318 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$453,557 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$453,557 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$207,665 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$207,665 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,868,374 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,868,374 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$952,283 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$952,283 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,348,770 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,348,770 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$244,366 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$244,366 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$689,506 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$689,506 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$16,967,215 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett 73%
Kevin Warsh 13%
Christopher Waller 6.6%
Scott Bessent 3.6%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
73%
Kevin Warsh
13%
Christopher Waller
7%
Scott Bessent
4%
Rick Rieder
3%
Michelle Bowman
1%
David Malpass
<1%
Jerome Powell
<1%
Stephen Miran
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
<1%
Howard Lutnick
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
<1%
Judy Shelton
<1%
James Bullard
<1%
Barron Trump
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Bill Pulte
<1%
Arthur Laffer
<1%
Larry Kudlow
<1%
Ron Paul
<1%
David Zervos
<1%
Philip Jefferson
<1%
Janet Yellen
<1%
Larry Lindsey
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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