Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Kevin Warsh 95.4%

Judy Shelton 3.6%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

$446,287,073 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$35,903,911 Vol.

95%

Judy Shelton

$67,680,130 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$24,976,746 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$21,576,038 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$19,782,249 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$26,493,843 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$15,555,502 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$17,667,792 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$14,008,999 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$24,348,081 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$6,187,990 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,541,831 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$21,039,223 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,213,041 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,546,067 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$16,261,696 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,657,534 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,225,340 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,799,610 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,777,767 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,730,140 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,192,343 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,950,693 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,773,683 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,391,818 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

Politics·Jerome Powell

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 95.4%

Judy Shelton 3.6%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

$446,287,073 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$35,903,911 Vol.

95%

Judy Shelton

$67,680,130 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$24,976,746 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$21,576,038 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$19,782,249 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$26,493,843 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$15,555,502 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$17,667,792 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$14,008,999 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$24,348,081 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$6,187,990 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,541,831 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$21,039,223 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,213,041 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,546,067 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$16,261,696 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,657,534 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,225,340 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,799,610 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,777,767 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,730,140 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,192,343 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,950,693 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,773,683 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,391,818 Vol.

<1%

Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

27%

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

64%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

71%

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

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