Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$68,987,075 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 14.0%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,987,075
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$68,987,075 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 14.0%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,122,093 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,833,041 Vol.

25%

Christopher Waller

$1,834,720 Vol.

14%

Rick Rieder

$1,183,098 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,381,384 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,402,605 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,156,777 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,302,104 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,534,882 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,167,086 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,141,365 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$641,826 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,332,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$744,333 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,517,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,138,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,213,480 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,340,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$279,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,489,817 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$9,599,517 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$779,506 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,109,562 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$68,987,075
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.