$778,375 Vol.
Ayatollah / Khamenei
No
Beckstrom
Yes
Bessent
No
Bibi / Netanyahu
No
Charlie Kirk
Yes
Clinton
No
Elizabeth Warren / Pocahontas
No
Elon / Musk
No
Hegseth
No
Homan
No
Howard / Lutnick
No
Kushner
Yes
Karoline / Leavitt
No
Kash / Patel
No
Noem
No
Lincoln
No
Maduro
Yes
Marco / Rubio
Yes
Monroe
No
Newsom / Newscum
No
Obama
Yes
Pam / Bondi
No
Powell / Too Late
No
President Xi
No
Prince Mohammed
No
Putin
No
Reagan
No
Reza / Pahlavi
No
Schumer
No
Susie Wiles
No
Thune
No
Walz
No
Witkoff
Yes
Zelenskyy
No
Zohran / Mamdani
No
Bush
No
Biden
Yes
Kavanaugh
No
Kevin Warsh
No
Judy Shelton
No
Machado
No
Caine
No
Dell
Yes
Scalise
No
$778,375 Vol.
Ayatollah / Khamenei
No
Beckstrom
Yes
Bessent
No
Bibi / Netanyahu
No
Charlie Kirk
Yes
Clinton
No
Elizabeth Warren / Pocahontas
No
Elon / Musk
No
Hegseth
No
Homan
No
Howard / Lutnick
No
Kushner
Yes
Karoline / Leavitt
No
Kash / Patel
No
Noem
No
Lincoln
No
Maduro
Yes
Marco / Rubio
Yes
Monroe
No
Newsom / Newscum
No
Obama
Yes
Pam / Bondi
No
Powell / Too Late
No
President Xi
No
Prince Mohammed
No
Putin
No
Reagan
No
Reza / Pahlavi
No
Schumer
No
Susie Wiles
No
Thune
No
Walz
No
Witkoff
Yes
Zelenskyy
No
Zohran / Mamdani
No
Bush
No
Biden
Yes
Kavanaugh
No
Kevin Warsh
No
Judy Shelton
No
Machado
No
Caine
No
Dell
Yes
Scalise
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions