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Politics·Trump

Who will Trump endorse?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Who will Trump endorse?

$135,172 Vol.

Nov 4, 2026
Polymarket

$135,172 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET? icon

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov

$1,611 Vol.

96%

Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? icon

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

$41,704 Vol.

61%

Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? icon

Susan Collins - ME-Sen

$446 Vol.

54%

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? icon

Andy Barr - KY-Sen

$21,987 Vol.

34%

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? icon

John Cornyn - TX-Sen

$59,504 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump's anticipated endorsement remains undecided in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following the March 3 primary where neither secured a majority. Trump pledged in early March to back one candidate and urge the other to withdraw, but missed a key deadline and has stayed neutral amid intense MAGA pressure against the establishment-aligned Cornyn. The May 26 runoff heightens stakes for GOP primary dynamics. Recently, Trump re-endorsed Sen. Lindsey Graham in South Carolina and shows signals of supporting Steve Hilton for California governor, with announcements tracked via Truth Social or reliable reporting through November 2026.

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$135,172
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump's anticipated endorsement remains undecided in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following the March 3 primary where neither secured a majority. Trump pledged in early March to back one candidate and urge the other to withdraw, but missed a key deadline and has stayed neutral amid intense MAGA pressure against the establishment-aligned Cornyn. The May 26 runoff heightens stakes for GOP primary dynamics. Recently, Trump re-endorsed Sen. Lindsey Graham in South Carolina and shows signals of supporting Steve Hilton for California governor, with announcements tracked via Truth Social or reliable reporting through November 2026.

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$135,172
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump endorse?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen" at 100%, followed by "Steve Hilton - CA-Gov" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump endorse?" has generated $135.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump endorse?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump endorse?" is "Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Hilton - CA-Gov" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump endorse?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.