Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 53%

Naftali Bennett 31%

Gadi Eizenkot 2.7%

Yair Lapid 2.5%

Polymarket

$829,629 Vol.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$829,629
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 53%

Naftali Bennett 31%

Gadi Eizenkot 2.7%

Yair Lapid 2.5%

Polymarket

$829,629 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$152,513 Vol.

53%

Naftali Bennett

$251,207 Vol.

31%

Gadi Eizenkot

$26,602 Vol.

3%

Yair Lapid

$23,315 Vol.

3%

Avigdor Lieberman

$117,533 Vol.

2%

Yair Golan

$46,310 Vol.

2%

Yossi Cohen

$28,628 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$118,245 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$18,795 Vol.

1%

Benny Gantz

$12,782 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$3,587 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$4,332 Vol.

<1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$14,827 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$10,952 Vol.

<1%

Related

Market icon

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

29%
Market icon

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

98%
Market icon

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

76%

Beware of external links.