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Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Name: Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Start: 2026-01-21T03:15:54.725Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

poliknomi · 2026-01-21T03:15:54.725Z

Discussion about Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Politics·Davos

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

$3,368,299 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

Brazil

$29,501 Vol.

Germany

$131,321 Vol.

<1%

India

$47,289 Vol.

<1%

Denmark

$343,406 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$512,711 Vol.

<1%

Sweden

$225,882 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$51,723 Vol.

<1%

Finland

$577,958 Vol.

<1%

France

$62,782 Vol.

<1%

U.K.

$132,582 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$38,055 Vol.

<1%

Spain

$100,322 Vol.

<1%

Russia

$279,275 Vol.

<1%

Palestine

$43,922 Vol.

<1%

Netherlands

$287,664 Vol.

<1%

Italy

$201,508 Vol.

<1%

China

$119,493 Vol.

<1%

Ukraine

$80,124 Vol.

<1%

$3,368,299 Vol.

Brazil

$29,501 Vol.

Germany

$131,321 Vol.

<1%

India

$47,289 Vol.

<1%

Denmark

$343,406 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$512,711 Vol.

<1%

Sweden

$225,882 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$51,723 Vol.

<1%

Finland

$577,958 Vol.

<1%

France

$62,782 Vol.

<1%

U.K.

$132,582 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$38,055 Vol.

<1%

Spain

$100,322 Vol.

<1%

Russia

$279,275 Vol.

<1%

Palestine

$43,922 Vol.

<1%

Netherlands

$287,664 Vol.

<1%

Italy

$201,508 Vol.

<1%

China

$119,493 Vol.

<1%

Ukraine

$80,124 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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13%

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71%

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27%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 100%, followed by "Turkiye" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" is "Israel" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Turkiye" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.4 million traded on “Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Israel" in the "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Israel" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" market has an active community of 130 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Note on Middle East Markets

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

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Comments (130)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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