Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of August?

$7,499,432 Vol.

Google 100.0%

DeepSeek <1%

Alibaba <1%

OpenAI <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$7,499,432
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Created At
Jun 30, 2025, 11:23 PM

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

$7,499,432 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Google 100.0%

DeepSeek <1%

Alibaba <1%

OpenAI <1%

Market icon

Google

$1,270,335 Vol.

Yes

circle check
Market icon

DeepSeek

$851,955 Vol.

No

circle xmark
Market icon

Alibaba

$457,843 Vol.

No

circle xmark
Market icon

OpenAI

$1,867,517 Vol.

No

circle xmark
Market icon

xAI

$1,660,556 Vol.

No

circle xmark
Market icon

Meta

$596,377 Vol.

No

circle xmark
Market icon

Anthropic

$794,850 Vol.

No

circle xmark

About

Volume
$7,499,432
End Date
Aug 31, 2025
Created At
Jun 30, 2025, 11:23 PM