Which company has best AI model end of August?
$7,499,432 Vol.
Google 100.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Alibaba <1%
OpenAI <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT

Google
$1,270,335 Vol.
Yes

$1,270,335 Vol.
Yes

DeepSeek
$851,955 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$851,955 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$457,843 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$457,843 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,867,517 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,867,517 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,660,556 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,660,556 Vol.
No

Meta
$596,377 Vol.
No

Meta
$596,377 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$794,850 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$794,850 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Jun 30, 2025, 11:23 PM
Volume
$7,499,432End Date
Aug 31, 2025Created At
Jun 30, 2025, 11:23 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$7,499,432 Vol.
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Google 100.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Alibaba <1%
OpenAI <1%

$1,270,335 Vol.
Yes

DeepSeek
$851,955 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$457,843 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$1,867,517 Vol.
No

xAI
$1,660,556 Vol.
No

Meta
$596,377 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$794,850 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$7,499,432End Date
Aug 31, 2025Created At
Jun 30, 2025, 11:23 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...


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