Where will it snow first?
Detroit 100.0%
Chicago <1%
New York City <1%
St. Louis <1%
$74,312 Vol.
$74,312 Vol.
May 1, 2026
Chicago
$21,829 Vol.
No
Chicago
$21,829 Vol.
No
Detroit
$24,386 Vol.
Yes
Detroit
$24,386 Vol.
Yes
New York City
$10,268 Vol.
No
New York City
$10,268 Vol.
No
St. Louis
$17,828 Vol.
No
St. Louis
$17,828 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS).
This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.
If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS).
This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.
If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.
If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
Created At: Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Volume
$74,312End Date
May 1, 2026Created At
Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Where will it snow first?
Detroit 100.0%
Chicago <1%
New York City <1%
St. Louis <1%
$74,312 Vol.
$74,312 Vol.
May 1, 2026
Chicago
$21,829 Vol.
No
Detroit
$24,386 Vol.
Yes
New York City
$10,268 Vol.
No
St. Louis
$17,828 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$74,312End Date
May 1, 2026Created At
Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.