When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?
$1,170,142 Vol.
October 1 100.0%
September 28 <1%
September 29 <1%
September 30 <1%
September 28
$2,256 Vol.
No
September 28
$2,256 Vol.
No
September 29
$3,293 Vol.
No
September 29
$3,293 Vol.
No
September 30
$141,246 Vol.
No
September 30
$141,246 Vol.
No
October 1
$651,593 Vol.
Yes
October 1
$651,593 Vol.
Yes
October 2
$78,201 Vol.
No
October 2
$78,201 Vol.
No
October 3
$51,454 Vol.
No
October 3
$51,454 Vol.
No
October 4
$31,076 Vol.
No
October 4
$31,076 Vol.
No
October 5
$32,587 Vol.
No
October 5
$32,587 Vol.
No
October 6
$38,041 Vol.
No
October 6
$38,041 Vol.
No
October 7
$21,795 Vol.
No
October 7
$21,795 Vol.
No
October 8
$20,057 Vol.
No
October 8
$20,057 Vol.
No
October 9
$19,900 Vol.
No
October 9
$19,900 Vol.
No
October 10
$19,423 Vol.
No
October 10
$19,423 Vol.
No
No Raid
$59,221 Vol.
No
No Raid
$59,221 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the date ET Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers.
This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Sep 28, 2025, 7:24 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$1,170,142 Vol.
When will Israel first raid Gaza aid flotilla?
October 1 100.0%
September 28 <1%
September 29 <1%
September 30 <1%
September 28
No
September 29
No
September 30
No
October 1
Yes
October 2
No
October 3
No
October 4
No
October 5
No
October 6
No
October 7
No
October 8
No
October 9
No
October 10
No
No Raid
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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