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What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

Market icon

What will Trump say during Saturday rally?

$1,491,497 Vol.

Aug 17, 2024
Polymarket

$1,491,497 Vol.

Polymarket

MAGA

$253,160 Vol.

Yes

MAGA 5+ times

$183,615 Vol.

No

Tampon

$172,054 Vol.

Yes

Illegal Immigration 3+ times

$137,557 Vol.

No

Fake News

$60,139 Vol.

Yes

Drill baby drill

$90,597 Vol.

Yes

Gag

$56,447 Vol.

No

Bitcoin

$77,910 Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$60,250 Vol.

No

Couch

$59,752 Vol.

No

Crypto

$69,527 Vol.

No

Fire/Fired

$80,996 Vol.

Yes

Ear 3+ times

$43,239 Vol.

No

Secret Service

$54,946 Vol.

No

Iran

$51,125 Vol.

Yes

Debate

$40,185 Vol.

Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Wilkes-Barre on Saturday, August 17.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his rally currently scheduled for August 17. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the rally is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts).

The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the rally.
Volume
$1,491,497
End Date
Aug 17, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2024, 10:23 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Wilkes-Barre on Saturday, August 17. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his rally currently scheduled for August 17. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the rally is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts). The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the rally.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Saturday rally?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "MAGA" at 100%, followed by "Tampon" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Saturday rally?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Saturday rally?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Saturday rally?" is "MAGA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tampon" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Saturday rally?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.