Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily on legal battles and political opponents, drives trader consensus for this week's output, with high implied probabilities on criticisms of his New York hush money trial judge or DA Alvin Bragg. Recent pretrial filings and a March 25 gag order hearing heighten expectations for "witch hunt" rhetoric, mirroring his responses to prior rulings. Ongoing campaign momentum, including a March 26 NRA speech, could spur election fraud or Biden attacks, while traders note his pattern of amplifying viral topics like border security. Odds reflect historical base rates from similar weeks, underscoring uncertainty from unscheduled posts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$20,854 Vol.
NATO
84%
Nasty
67%
Boeing
55%
Ballroom
37%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
27%
Panican
35%
Free Tina Peters
43%
Peace Through Strength
74%
Epic Fury
69%
Bully of the Middle East
44%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
45%
Excursion
32%
FBI
68%
Evil Empire
49%
Fool
48%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
60%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
66%
Democrat Shutdown
65%
Bomb / Bomber
54%
Impeach / Impeachment
45%
Terrorist
78%
Congresswoman
47%
Texas
56%
Spain
51%
$20,854 Vol.
NATO
84%
Nasty
67%
Boeing
55%
Ballroom
37%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
27%
Panican
35%
Free Tina Peters
43%
Peace Through Strength
74%
Epic Fury
69%
Bully of the Middle East
44%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
45%
Excursion
32%
FBI
68%
Evil Empire
49%
Fool
48%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
60%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
66%
Democrat Shutdown
65%
Bomb / Bomber
54%
Impeach / Impeachment
45%
Terrorist
78%
Congresswoman
47%
Texas
56%
Spain
51%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple posts daily on legal battles and political opponents, drives trader consensus for this week's output, with high implied probabilities on criticisms of his New York hush money trial judge or DA Alvin Bragg. Recent pretrial filings and a March 25 gag order hearing heighten expectations for "witch hunt" rhetoric, mirroring his responses to prior rulings. Ongoing campaign momentum, including a March 26 NRA speech, could spur election fraud or Biden attacks, while traders note his pattern of amplifying viral topics like border security. Odds reflect historical base rates from similar weeks, underscoring uncertainty from unscheduled posts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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