Trump's prolific posting on Truth Social, averaging multiple daily updates criticizing legal adversaries, President Biden, and media coverage, drives trader consensus toward high probabilities on attack-themed options for the March 16-22 period. Recent catalysts include his March 14 primary sweeps solidifying the GOP nomination, prompting boasts about voter support and fraud claims, alongside ongoing appeals in the New York civil fraud case where a reduced bond was secured. Traders weigh his pattern of rapid response to news against rare quiet spells, with no major rallies or hearings scheduled this week to spike volume, though any Biden administration announcement could prompt immediate rebuttals. Market odds reflect this reliable cadence amid election momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$82,118 Vol.
Ass
5%
Lawsuit
26%
Illinois
6%
Epic Fury
23%
Oscar / Oscars
10%
Hillary / Clinton
19%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
16%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
21%
Filibuster
100%
Stupid
48%
Death to America
8%
Claude / Anthropic
1%
Hamas / Hezbollah
11%
Too Big to Rig
5%
Democrat Shutdown
7%
Mamdani
4%
Son
10%
Cornyn
10%
Jake Paul
14%
$82,118 Vol.
Ass
5%
Lawsuit
26%
Illinois
6%
Epic Fury
23%
Oscar / Oscars
10%
Hillary / Clinton
19%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
16%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
21%
Filibuster
100%
Stupid
48%
Death to America
8%
Claude / Anthropic
1%
Hamas / Hezbollah
11%
Too Big to Rig
5%
Democrat Shutdown
7%
Mamdani
4%
Son
10%
Cornyn
10%
Jake Paul
14%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific posting on Truth Social, averaging multiple daily updates criticizing legal adversaries, President Biden, and media coverage, drives trader consensus toward high probabilities on attack-themed options for the March 16-22 period. Recent catalysts include his March 14 primary sweeps solidifying the GOP nomination, prompting boasts about voter support and fraud claims, alongside ongoing appeals in the New York civil fraud case where a reduced bond was secured. Traders weigh his pattern of rapid response to news against rare quiet spells, with no major rallies or hearings scheduled this week to spike volume, though any Biden administration announcement could prompt immediate rebuttals. Market odds reflect this reliable cadence amid election momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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