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What will Kamala say at the debate?

Market icon

What will Kamala say at the debate?

$2,783,234 Vol.

Sep 10, 2024
Polymarket

$2,783,234 Vol.

Polymarket

Abortion

$253,322 Vol.

Yes

Convicted Felon

$269,820 Vol.

No

Liar

$217,190 Vol.

No

Project 2025

$204,818 Vol.

Yes

I'm speaking

$279,464 Vol.

No

Border 5+ times

$171,599 Vol.

No

Inflation

$55,354 Vol.

Yes

Palestine/Palestinian

$105,708 Vol.

Yes

DEI

$137,422 Vol.

No

Democracy

$109,084 Vol.

Yes

Weird

$111,905 Vol.

No

JD Vance

$146,719 Vol.

Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin

$216,995 Vol.

No

Artificial Intelligence

$125,723 Vol.

Yes

Wall

$62,239 Vol.

No

Not Going Back

$99,043 Vol.

Yes

Unrealized

$141,998 Vol.

No

McDonald's

$66,131 Vol.

No

Ceasefire

$8,701 Vol.

Yes

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "abortion" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Volume
$2,783,234
End Date
Sep 10, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2024, 6:13 PM ET
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "abortion" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Kamala say at the debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abortion" at 100%, followed by "Project 2025" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Kamala say at the debate?" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Kamala say at the debate?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Kamala say at the debate?" is "Abortion" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Project 2025" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Kamala say at the debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.