Market icon

Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?

$204,010 Vol.

Democrat

1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Democrat" if the shooter at Donald Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, is confirmed to have been a registered Democrat, affiliated with left-wing groups such as Antifa, or had a public record of supporting liberal political causes.

The market will resolve to "Republican" if the shooter is confirmed to have been a registered Republican, affiliated with right-wing groups, or had a public record of supporting conservative political causes, such as consistent support for Donald Trump.

The resolution will be based on the shooter’s most recent political affiliations and activity.

This market will resolve once there is definitive evidence of the shooter's political affiliations. If there has been no relevant information by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET then this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market is official information from law enforcement agencies including the secret service and a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume
$204,010
End Date
Jul 31, 2024
Created At
Jul 14, 2024, 3:04 AM

Outcome proposed: Democrat 0.50, Republican 0.50

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Republican

No dispute

Final outcome: Republican

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$204,010 Vol.

Market icon

Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?

Democrat

1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Democrat" if the shooter at Donald Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, is confirmed to have been a registered Democrat, affiliated with left-wing groups such as Antifa, or had a public record of supporting liberal political causes.

The market will resolve to "Republican" if the shooter is confirmed to have been a registered Republican, affiliated with right-wing groups, or had a public record of supporting conservative political causes, such as consistent support for Donald Trump.

The resolution will be based on the shooter’s most recent political affiliations and activity.

This market will resolve once there is definitive evidence of the shooter's political affiliations. If there has been no relevant information by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET then this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market is official information from law enforcement agencies including the secret service and a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume
$204,010
End Date
Jul 31, 2024
Created At
Jul 14, 2024, 3:04 AM

Outcome proposed: Democrat 0.50, Republican 0.50

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Republican

No dispute

Final outcome: Republican