Market icon

US forces in Venezuela by...?

$9,435,672 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,435,672
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

US forces in Venezuela by...?

$9,435,672 Vol.

September 30

$228,500 Vol.

No

October 31

$457,088 Vol.

No

November 30

$514,514 Vol.

No

December 31

$1,462,395 Vol.

No

January 31

$6,361,686 Vol.

Yes

March 31

$411,488 Vol.

Yes

About

Volume
$9,435,672
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 5:03 PM ET

Beware of external links.