US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?
$2,005 Vol.
Rules
The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.
Created At: Sep 29, 2025, 8:46 PM
Volume
$2,005End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 8:46 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...$2,005 Vol.
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?
About
The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.
Volume
$2,005End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 8:46 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...



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