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icon for Trump Today: April 24
Politics·Trump

Trump Today: April 24

icon for Trump Today: April 24
Politics·Trump

Trump Today: April 24

$5,783 Vol.

Apr 24, 2026
Polymarket

$5,783 Vol.

Polymarket

Trump dances

$632 Vol.

3%

Trump signs an executive order

$257 Vol.

16%

Trump wears a yellow tie

$345 Vol.

5%

Trump says "Bigly"

$3,960 Vol.

2%

Trump talks to Keir Starmer

$590 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a yellow tie at any point on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's schedule for April 24, 2026, centers on executive time, a 2:00 PM ET Oval Office policy meeting addressing U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz following recent Navy actions and Truth Social statements, and departure for the RNC Spring Retreat in Palm Beach, Florida. This focus on diplomacy—building on yesterday's announcement of a three-week Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension—drives trader consensus toward low probabilities for unconventional actions like dancing (3%), wearing a yellow tie (5%), saying "bigly" (2%), or talking to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (5%), with signing an executive order at 16% reflecting occasional presidential actions amid foreign policy priorities. No recent precedents for these outcomes shift odds notably, emphasizing structural barriers in a high-stakes agenda.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve based on video.
Volume
$5,783
End Date
Apr 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a yellow tie at any point on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's schedule for April 24, 2026, centers on executive time, a 2:00 PM ET Oval Office policy meeting addressing U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz following recent Navy actions and Truth Social statements, and departure for the RNC Spring Retreat in Palm Beach, Florida. This focus on diplomacy—building on yesterday's announcement of a three-week Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension—drives trader consensus toward low probabilities for unconventional actions like dancing (3%), wearing a yellow tie (5%), saying "bigly" (2%), or talking to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (5%), with signing an executive order at 16% reflecting occasional presidential actions amid foreign policy priorities. No recent precedents for these outcomes shift odds notably, emphasizing structural barriers in a high-stakes agenda.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve based on video.
Volume
$5,783
End Date
Apr 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Today: April 24" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump signs an executive order" at 16%, followed by "Trump wears a yellow tie" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump Today: April 24" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump Today: April 24," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump Today: April 24" is "Trump signs an executive order" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump wears a yellow tie" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump Today: April 24" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.