Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Donald Trump posting 60-79 times on Truth Social from April 24 to May 1, 2026, driven by the primary tracker's verified tally of 66 posts—including main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—synced as of May 1 morning via xtracker.polymarket.com. This reflects Trump's moderated pace of about nine posts daily during the period, below his April 2026 average of 18-22, amid presidential duties like tariff hikes on EU vehicles, Surgeon General nomination, and congressional redistricting commentary. Scenarios challenging this include a late May 1 posting surge post-sync, disputes over deleted posts captured within five minutes, or alternative archives like Factba.se registering fewer substantive entries, potentially triggering resolution review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated60-79 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$283,531 Vol.
$283,531 Vol.
May 1, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
Yes
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
60-79 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$283,531 Vol.
$283,531 Vol.
May 1, 2026
<20
$27,748 Vol.
No
20-39
$35,145 Vol.
No
40-59
$60,317 Vol.
No
60-79
$27,536 Vol.
Yes
80-99
$28,055 Vol.
No
100-119
$23,432 Vol.
No
120-139
$17,583 Vol.
No
140-159
$17,581 Vol.
No
160-179
$10,063 Vol.
No
180-199
$10,290 Vol.
No
200+
$25,780 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Donald Trump posting 60-79 times on Truth Social from April 24 to May 1, 2026, driven by the primary tracker's verified tally of 66 posts—including main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—synced as of May 1 morning via xtracker.polymarket.com. This reflects Trump's moderated pace of about nine posts daily during the period, below his April 2026 average of 18-22, amid presidential duties like tariff hikes on EU vehicles, Surgeon General nomination, and congressional redistricting commentary. Scenarios challenging this include a late May 1 posting surge post-sync, disputes over deleted posts captured within five minutes, or alternative archives like Factba.se registering fewer substantive entries, potentially triggering resolution review.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$283,531End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Donald Trump posting 60-79 times on Truth Social from April 24 to May 1, 2026, driven by the primary tracker's verified tally of 66 posts—including main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—synced as of May 1 morning via xtracker.polymarket.com. This reflects Trump's moderated pace of about nine posts daily during the period, below his April 2026 average of 18-22, amid presidential duties like tariff hikes on EU vehicles, Surgeon General nomination, and congressional redistricting commentary. Scenarios challenging this include a late May 1 posting surge post-sync, disputes over deleted posts captured within five minutes, or alternative archives like Factba.se registering fewer substantive entries, potentially triggering resolution review.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$283,531End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Donald Trump posting 60-79 times on Truth Social from April 24 to May 1, 2026, driven by the primary tracker's verified tally of 66 posts—including main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—synced as of May 1 morning via xtracker.polymarket.com. This reflects Trump's moderated pace of about nine posts daily during the period, below his April 2026 average of 18-22, amid presidential duties like tariff hikes on EU vehicles, Surgeon General nomination, and congressional redistricting commentary. Scenarios challenging this include a late May 1 posting surge post-sync, disputes over deleted posts captured within five minutes, or alternative archives like Factba.se registering fewer substantive entries, potentially triggering resolution review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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