Market icon

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28?

47.5-47.9 100.0%

<47.5 <1%

48.0-48.4 <1%

48.5-48.9 <1%

$406,257 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$406,257
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Created At
Feb 21, 2025, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28?

47.5-47.9 100.0%

<47.5 <1%

48.0-48.4 <1%

48.5-48.9 <1%

$406,257 Vol.

<47.5

$79,314 Vol.

No

47.5-47.9

$15,885 Vol.

Yes

48.0-48.4

$192,635 Vol.

No

48.5-48.9

$8,306 Vol.

No

49.0-49.4

$98,033 Vol.

No

49.5+

$12,083 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$406,257
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Created At
Feb 21, 2025, 2:17 PM ET

Beware of external links.