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Survivor 50 Winner

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Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 74%

Cirie Fields 13.6%

Jonathan Young 3.0%

Rizo Velovic 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,174,212 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 74%

Cirie Fields 13.6%

Jonathan Young 3.0%

Rizo Velovic 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,174,212 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$150,923 Vol.

74%

Cirie Fields

$39,416 Vol.

14%

Jonathan Young

$66,287 Vol.

3%

Rizo Velovic

$84,131 Vol.

3%

Ozzy Lusth

$69,973 Vol.

2%

Joe Hunter

$84,894 Vol.

1%

Christian Hubicki

$65,491 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$38,699 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$29,513 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$31,275 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$53,650 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$45,827 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$26,079 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$28,788 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$34,183 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$75,971 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$34,300 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$21,877 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$41,294 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$24,125 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$34,648 Vol.

<1%

Rick Devens

$46,721 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$7,729 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$38,417 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco the clear Survivor 50 frontrunner at 73.5% implied probability, driven by her strategic navigation through episode 8's explosive double elimination on April 15, where Cirie Fields (13.6%) masterminded Benjamin "Coach" Wade's blindside amid Rick Devens' fake idol chaos. Aubry's under-the-radar gameplay, leveraging alliances like Cirie's while avoiding early targets, echoes her Kaôh Rōng runner-up resilience, boosting her endgame jury appeal in this 24-legend cast. Recent popularity polls highlight Cirie's unmatched social pull, but traders favor Aubry's momentum with roughly 10 players left; next immunity challenges and tribals through May could spark upsets.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,174,212
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco the clear Survivor 50 frontrunner at 73.5% implied probability, driven by her strategic navigation through episode 8's explosive double elimination on April 15, where Cirie Fields (13.6%) masterminded Benjamin "Coach" Wade's blindside amid Rick Devens' fake idol chaos. Aubry's under-the-radar gameplay, leveraging alliances like Cirie's while avoiding early targets, echoes her Kaôh Rōng runner-up resilience, boosting her endgame jury appeal in this 24-legend cast. Recent popularity polls highlight Cirie's unmatched social pull, but traders favor Aubry's momentum with roughly 10 players left; next immunity challenges and tribals through May could spark upsets.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,174,212
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 74%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.