Market icon

Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?

Market icon

Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$18,728 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$18,728 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States renders a unanimous verdict in the case "Trump v. United States" (No. 23-939) by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If SCOTUS declines to rule on this case, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If SCOTUS remands this case, sending it back to a lower court, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting and interpretation will also be used.
Volume
$18,728
End Date
Nov 4, 2024
Market Opened
Apr 26, 2024, 2:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States renders a unanimous verdict in the case "Trump v. United States" (No. 23-939) by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SCOTUS declines to rule on this case, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If SCOTUS remands this case, sending it back to a lower court, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting and interpretation will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States renders a unanimous verdict in the case "Trump v. United States" (No. 23-939) by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If SCOTUS declines to rule on this case, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If SCOTUS remands this case, sending it back to a lower court, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting and interpretation will also be used.
Volume
$18,728
End Date
Nov 4, 2024
Market Opened
Apr 26, 2024, 2:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States renders a unanimous verdict in the case "Trump v. United States" (No. 23-939) by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SCOTUS declines to rule on this case, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If SCOTUS remands this case, sending it back to a lower court, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting and interpretation will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?" has generated $18.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 26, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.