Ended$1,323,045 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$430,029 Vol.
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$430,029 Vol.
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
$130,192 Vol.
No
Super Heavy explodes?
$130,192 Vol.
No
Reaches space?
$91,044 Vol.
Yes
Reaches space?
$91,044 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$56,507 Vol.
No
Successful splash down?
$56,507 Vol.
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
$51,819 Vol.
Yes
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
$51,819 Vol.
Yes
Trump attends launch?
$80,873 Vol.
No
Trump attends launch?
$80,873 Vol.
No
Launch by Jan 10?
$127,692 Vol.
No
Launch by Jan 10?
$127,692 Vol.
No
Launch by Jan 15?
$50,103 Vol.
No
Launch by Jan 15?
$50,103 Vol.
No
Launch before February?
$304,785 Vol.
Yes
Launch before February?
$304,785 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred. If the seventh launch has not occurred by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred. If the seventh launch has not occurred by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred. If the seventh launch has not occurred by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Created At: Jan 3, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,323,045End Date
Jan 16, 2025Created At
Jan 3, 2025, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Ended$1,323,045 Vol.
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?
$430,029 Vol.
Yes
Super Heavy explodes?
$130,192 Vol.
No
Reaches space?
$91,044 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$56,507 Vol.
No
Super Heavy survives re-entry?
$51,819 Vol.
Yes
Trump attends launch?
$80,873 Vol.
No
Launch by Jan 10?
$127,692 Vol.
No
Launch by Jan 15?
$50,103 Vol.
No
Launch before February?
$304,785 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$1,323,045End Date
Jan 16, 2025Created At
Jan 3, 2025, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...
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