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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 40.9%

Marco Rubio 22.3%

Ron DeSantis 3.0%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$370,364,122 Vol.

J.D. Vance 40.9%

Marco Rubio 22.3%

Ron DeSantis 3.0%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$370,364,122 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$5,123,993 Vol.

41%

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Marco Rubio

$5,164,571 Vol.

22%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,043,293 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$5,229,008 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$3,169,354 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$1,901,102 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$4,242,919 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,778,981 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,843,847 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$7,434,531 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$19,410,515 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,678,628 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,730,433 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$14,685,913 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$8,173,671 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$14,254,364 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,849,020 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$19,685,916 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$22,486,357 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$5,030,008 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,877,953 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,610,967 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$18,500,281 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,307,723 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$16,014,342 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$11,727,957 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$21,408,252 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$1,904,128 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$24,169,347 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$11,350,314 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$17,918,926 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$6,284,907 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$27,372,600 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$370,364,122
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $370.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.