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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 41.2%

Marco Rubio 20.8%

Ron DeSantis 2.7%

Donald Trump 2.2%

Polymarket

$369,971,606 Vol.

J.D. Vance 41.2%

Marco Rubio 20.8%

Ron DeSantis 2.7%

Donald Trump 2.2%

Polymarket

$369,971,606 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$5,115,167 Vol.

41%

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Marco Rubio

$5,159,666 Vol.

21%

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Ron DeSantis

$4,994,382 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$5,204,403 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$3,164,088 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$1,895,881 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$4,235,018 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,773,163 Vol.

2%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,839,392 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$7,427,631 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$19,407,010 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,673,893 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,729,017 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$14,684,964 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$8,167,675 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$22,481,037 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$14,252,781 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,846,512 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$5,025,012 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$19,684,043 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,872,658 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$11,694,337 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,607,158 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$18,451,754 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,294,543 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$16,002,536 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$21,400,056 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$1,896,267 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$24,154,437 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$11,322,296 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$17,894,323 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$6,272,160 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$27,352,308 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$369,971,606
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $370 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.