Ryan Gosling's Project Hail Mary is tracking for a robust $53M-plus second weekend at the domestic box office following its record-shattering $80.5M opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best ever—fueled by 95% Rotten Tomatoes critics and 97% audience scores that signal exceptional word-of-mouth. Friday's $14.6M haul reflects a manageable drop from the $33M debut, with premium large format (PLF) and IMAX screens driving repeat viewings amid minimal competition from holdovers like They Will Kill You. Trader consensus favors over $54M at 62.3% implied probability, buoyed by upward revisions from early $43-49M forecasts, though final Sunday estimates could shift dynamics based on walk-ups and regional holds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated"Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office
50-54m 56%
>54m 40.1%
46-50m 2.7%
42-46m <1%
$62,317 Vol.
$62,317 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<42m
<1%
42-46m
<1%
46-50m
3%
50-54m
56%
>54m
40%
50-54m 56%
>54m 40.1%
46-50m 2.7%
42-46m <1%
$62,317 Vol.
$62,317 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<42m
$6,021 Vol.
<1%
42-46m
$23,782 Vol.
<1%
46-50m
$11,754 Vol.
3%
50-54m
$9,268 Vol.
56%
>54m
$11,653 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's Project Hail Mary is tracking for a robust $53M-plus second weekend at the domestic box office following its record-shattering $80.5M opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best ever—fueled by 95% Rotten Tomatoes critics and 97% audience scores that signal exceptional word-of-mouth. Friday's $14.6M haul reflects a manageable drop from the $33M debut, with premium large format (PLF) and IMAX screens driving repeat viewings amid minimal competition from holdovers like They Will Kill You. Trader consensus favors over $54M at 62.3% implied probability, buoyed by upward revisions from early $43-49M forecasts, though final Sunday estimates could shift dynamics based on walk-ups and regional holds.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volume
$62,317End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's Project Hail Mary is tracking for a robust $53M-plus second weekend at the domestic box office following its record-shattering $80.5M opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best ever—fueled by 95% Rotten Tomatoes critics and 97% audience scores that signal exceptional word-of-mouth. Friday's $14.6M haul reflects a manageable drop from the $33M debut, with premium large format (PLF) and IMAX screens driving repeat viewings amid minimal competition from holdovers like They Will Kill You. Trader consensus favors over $54M at 62.3% implied probability, buoyed by upward revisions from early $43-49M forecasts, though final Sunday estimates could shift dynamics based on walk-ups and regional holds.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$62,317End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ryan Gosling's Project Hail Mary is tracking for a robust $53M-plus second weekend at the domestic box office following its record-shattering $80.5M opening—the biggest of 2026 and Amazon MGM's best ever—fueled by 95% Rotten Tomatoes critics and 97% audience scores that signal exceptional word-of-mouth. Friday's $14.6M haul reflects a manageable drop from the $33M debut, with premium large format (PLF) and IMAX screens driving repeat viewings amid minimal competition from holdovers like They Will Kill You. Trader consensus favors over $54M at 62.3% implied probability, buoyed by upward revisions from early $43-49M forecasts, though final Sunday estimates could shift dynamics based on walk-ups and regional holds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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