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Oscars: Best Supporting Actress

Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez" 100.0%

Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave" <1%

Monica Barbaro - "A Complete Unknown" <1%

Ariana Grande – "Wicked" <1%

Polymarket

$838,312 Vol.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.

This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$838,312
End Date
Mar 2, 2025
Created At
Jan 21, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"" at 100%, followed by "Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave"" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" has generated $838.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" is "Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave"" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Oscars: Best Supporting Actress

Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez" 100.0%

Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave" <1%

Monica Barbaro - "A Complete Unknown" <1%

Ariana Grande – "Wicked" <1%

Polymarket

$838,312 Vol.

Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave"

$65,556 Vol.

No

Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"

$145,832 Vol.

Yes

Monica Barbaro - "A Complete Unknown"

$167,254 Vol.

No

Ariana Grande – "Wicked"

$83,803 Vol.

No

Danielle Deadwyler – "The Piano Lesson"

$23,847 Vol.

No

Felicity Jones – "The Brutalist"

$352,019 Vol.

No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"" at 100%, followed by "Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave"" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" has generated $838.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" is "Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave"" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.