Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

$6,309,634 Vol.

One Battle After Another 72%

Marty Supreme 9.8%

Hamnet 8%

Sinners 4.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,309,634
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM
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$6,309,634 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another 72%

Marty Supreme 9.8%

Hamnet 8%

Sinners 4.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$231,367 Vol.

72%

Marty Supreme

$114,107 Vol.

10%

Hamnet

$167,270 Vol.

8%

Sinners

$71,746 Vol.

4%

Bugonia

$270,572 Vol.

2%

Sentimental Value

$50,755 Vol.

1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$106,335 Vol.

1%

Frankenstein

$361,117 Vol.

1%

Wicked: For Good

$528,535 Vol.

1%

It Was Just an Accident

$551,433 Vol.

1%

Jay Kelly

$807,941 Vol.

<1%

A House of Dynamite

$878,461 Vol.

<1%

No Other Choice

$599,222 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$960,073 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$610,700 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$6,309,634
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM