Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

$7,026,084 Vol.

One Battle After Another 77%

Marty Supreme 8.4%

Sinners 6.3%

Hamnet 4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,026,084
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM UTC
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$7,026,084 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another 77%

Marty Supreme 8.4%

Sinners 6.3%

Hamnet 4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$265,272 Vol.

77%

Marty Supreme

$137,815 Vol.

8%

Sinners

$91,555 Vol.

6%

Hamnet

$197,914 Vol.

4%

Sentimental Value

$163,406 Vol.

1%

Bugonia

$285,236 Vol.

1%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$163,512 Vol.

1%

Frankenstein

$393,520 Vol.

1%

It Was Just an Accident

$617,734 Vol.

1%

A House of Dynamite

$944,049 Vol.

1%

Wicked: For Good

$546,342 Vol.

<1%

No Other Choice

$720,036 Vol.

<1%

Jay Kelly

$848,163 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$665,885 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$985,644 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$7,026,084
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:11 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.