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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$529,752 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$529,752
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$529,752 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$127,050 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$7,731 Vol.

98%

Marty Supreme

$10,867 Vol.

96%

Sinners

$4,736 Vol.

95%

Sentimental Value

$7,934 Vol.

94%

Frankenstein

$33,933 Vol.

93%

It Was Just an Accident

$16,050 Vol.

92%

Train Dreams

$17,785 Vol.

72%

Bugonia

$28,466 Vol.

53%

Wicked: For Good

$27,116 Vol.

34%

Jay Kelly

$14,202 Vol.

24%

No Other Choice

$25,476 Vol.

24%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$23,259 Vol.

15%

F1

$10,958 Vol.

11%

Weapons

$15,697 Vol.

8%

Nouvelle Vague

$3,666 Vol.

6%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$22,577 Vol.

5%

The Life of Chuck

$24,762 Vol.

4%

Sorry Baby

$616 Vol.

4%

Die My Love

$4,390 Vol.

4%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$2,886 Vol.

4%

Rental Family

$26,427 Vol.

4%

Warfare

$345 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$14,899 Vol.

4%

The Lost Bus

$608 Vol.

4%

After the Hunt

$238 Vol.

4%

Novocaine

$556 Vol.

3%

Sound of Falling

$765 Vol.

3%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$6,002 Vol.

3%

Highest 2 Lowest

$4,348 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$20,958 Vol.

3%

Anemone

$21,703 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$2,745 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$529,752
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.