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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$513,425 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$513,425
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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$513,425 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$125,300 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$7,692 Vol.

98%

Marty Supreme

$10,863 Vol.

96%

Sinners

$4,055 Vol.

95%

Sentimental Value

$7,934 Vol.

94%

It Was Just an Accident

$14,516 Vol.

93%

Frankenstein

$33,448 Vol.

93%

Train Dreams

$17,261 Vol.

73%

Bugonia

$24,204 Vol.

54%

Wicked: For Good

$25,807 Vol.

32%

Jay Kelly

$13,800 Vol.

28%

No Other Choice

$23,423 Vol.

20%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$22,199 Vol.

16%

Weapons

$14,456 Vol.

9%

F1

$10,897 Vol.

8%

Nouvelle Vague

$3,666 Vol.

6%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$22,055 Vol.

6%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$2,871 Vol.

5%

Rental Family

$26,327 Vol.

4%

Die My Love

$4,390 Vol.

4%

Sorry Baby

$616 Vol.

4%

The Life of Chuck

$24,662 Vol.

4%

Highest 2 Lowest

$4,256 Vol.

4%

After the Hunt

$234 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$14,847 Vol.

3%

The Lost Bus

$606 Vol.

3%

Sound of Falling

$765 Vol.

3%

Novocaine

$551 Vol.

3%

Warfare

$345 Vol.

3%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$5,999 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$20,932 Vol.

3%

Anemone

$21,703 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$2,745 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$513,425
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.