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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$276,788 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,788
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM
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$276,788 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$24,613 Vol.

98%

Hamnet

$5,671 Vol.

98%

Sinners

$2,043 Vol.

94%

Marty Supreme

$8,472 Vol.

94%

Sentimental Value

$3,536 Vol.

83%

Frankenstein

$16,358 Vol.

82%

It Was Just an Accident

$7,634 Vol.

76%

Train Dreams

$10,922 Vol.

54%

Wicked: For Good

$17,167 Vol.

49%

Bugonia

$16,867 Vol.

45%

Jay Kelly

$8,949 Vol.

40%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$14,504 Vol.

38%

No Other Choice

$16,164 Vol.

33%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$15,952 Vol.

17%

Die My Love

$1,685 Vol.

16%

Weapons

$10,863 Vol.

14%

Rental Family

$22,735 Vol.

14%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$889 Vol.

9%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$4,997 Vol.

9%

F1

$7,764 Vol.

8%

Sorry Baby

$513 Vol.

8%

The Life of Chuck

$17,424 Vol.

6%

The Smashing Machine

$16,073 Vol.

6%

The Lost Bus

$505 Vol.

5%

Sound of Falling

$253 Vol.

5%

After the Hunt

$234 Vol.

4%

Nouvelle Vague

$2,159 Vol.

4%

Warfare

$345 Vol.

4%

Novocaine

$542 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$13,509 Vol.

3%

Thunderbolts

$1,226 Vol.

3%

Highest 2 Lowest

$2,085 Vol.

3%

Anemone

$4,172 Vol.

3%

About

Volume
$276,788
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM