# of Republican Senate seats after Election?
$12,086,757 Vol.
53 99.9%
54 <1%
56+ <1%
55 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
56+
$2,267,278 Vol.
No
56+
$2,267,278 Vol.
No
55
$4,595,290 Vol.
No
55
$4,595,290 Vol.
No
54
$1,046,718 Vol.
No
54
$1,046,718 Vol.
No
53
$1,285,723 Vol.
Yes
53
$1,285,723 Vol.
Yes
52
$760,865 Vol.
No
52
$760,865 Vol.
No
51
$271,919 Vol.
No
51
$271,919 Vol.
No
50
$321,803 Vol.
No
50
$321,803 Vol.
No
49 or fewer
$1,537,160 Vol.
No
49 or fewer
$1,537,160 Vol.
No
Rules
The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. Senate elections 49 or fewer of voting Senate members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. Senate elections 49 or fewer of voting Senate members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Created At: May 21, 2024, 5:19 PM
Volume
$12,086,757End Date
Nov 5, 2024Created At
May 21, 2024, 5:19 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$12,086,757 Vol.
# of Republican Senate seats after Election?
53 99.9%
54 <1%
56+ <1%
55 <1%
56+
$2,267,278 Vol.
No
55
$4,595,290 Vol.
No
54
$1,046,718 Vol.
No
53
$1,285,723 Vol.
Yes
52
$760,865 Vol.
No
51
$271,919 Vol.
No
50
$321,803 Vol.
No
49 or fewer
$1,537,160 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$12,086,757End Date
Nov 5, 2024Created At
May 21, 2024, 5:19 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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