October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
1.15–1.19ºC <1%
$321,586 Vol.
$321,586 Vol.
Nov 11, 2025
<1.10ºC
$43,029 Vol.
No
<1.10ºC
$43,029 Vol.
No
1.10–1.14ºC
$72,542 Vol.
No
1.10–1.14ºC
$72,542 Vol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$69,690 Vol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$69,690 Vol.
No
1.20–1.24ºC
$42,489 Vol.
Yes
1.20–1.24ºC
$42,489 Vol.
Yes
1.25–1.29ºC
$50,015 Vol.
No
1.25–1.29ºC
$50,015 Vol.
No
>1.29ºC
$43,820 Vol.
No
>1.29ºC
$43,820 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Created At: Oct 10, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Volume
$321,586End Date
Nov 11, 2025Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC 100.0%
<1.10ºC <1%
1.10–1.14ºC <1%
1.15–1.19ºC <1%
$321,586 Vol.
$321,586 Vol.
Nov 11, 2025
<1.10ºC
$43,029 Vol.
No
1.10–1.14ºC
$72,542 Vol.
No
1.15–1.19ºC
$69,690 Vol.
No
1.20–1.24ºC
$42,489 Vol.
Yes
1.25–1.29ºC
$50,015 Vol.
No
>1.29ºC
$43,820 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$321,586End Date
Nov 11, 2025Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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