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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$2,788,884 Vol.

Donald Trump 13%

UNRWA 8%

International Court of Justice 6.2%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 5.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$2,788,884
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
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$2,788,884 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

UNRWA 8%

International Court of Justice 6.2%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 5.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,250,122 Vol.

13%

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UNRWA

$17,098 Vol.

8%

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International Court of Justice

$13,014 Vol.

6%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$27,930 Vol.

6%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$27,715 Vol.

6%

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Greta Thunberg

$12,131 Vol.

4%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$62,452 Vol.

3%

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Khaled Mashal

$3,234 Vol.

3%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$383,126 Vol.

3%

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Narendra Modi

$119,547 Vol.

3%

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Pope Leo XIV

$16,103 Vol.

3%

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António Guterres

$6,206 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$203,700 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$60,265 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$128,461 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$128,239 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$65,267 Vol.

1%

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Charlie Kirk

$137,677 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$75,097 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Putin

$51,500 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$2,788,884
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.