Market icon

No Cut October

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,265 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met during October 2025 ET:

- Federal Open Market Committee pauses
- European Central Bank pauses
- Bank of Japan pauses

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

If no statement is released by the end date of one of the listed next scheduled meetings, it will be assumed that there is no change in rate.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/To+Cut+or+Not+to+Cut+October.pdf
Volume
$15,265
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 9, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met during October 2025 ET: - Federal Open Market Committee pauses - European Central Bank pauses - Bank of Japan pauses Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If no statement is released by the end date of one of the listed next scheduled meetings, it will be assumed that there is no change in rate. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/To+Cut+or+Not+to+Cut+October.pdf

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"No Cut October" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "No Cut October" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "No Cut October," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "No Cut October" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "No Cut October" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

No Cut October

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,265 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met during October 2025 ET:

- Federal Open Market Committee pauses
- European Central Bank pauses
- Bank of Japan pauses

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

If no statement is released by the end date of one of the listed next scheduled meetings, it will be assumed that there is no change in rate.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/To+Cut+or+Not+to+Cut+October.pdf
Volume
$15,265
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 9, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met during October 2025 ET: - Federal Open Market Committee pauses - European Central Bank pauses - Bank of Japan pauses Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If no statement is released by the end date of one of the listed next scheduled meetings, it will be assumed that there is no change in rate. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/To+Cut+or+Not+to+Cut+October.pdf

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"No Cut October" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "No Cut October" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "No Cut October," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "No Cut October" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "No Cut October" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.